Who Leads the NBA Western Standings and Who's Falling Behind?
You know, I was looking at the Western Conference standings this morning and it struck me how dramatically different this season feels compared to last year. As someone who's followed the NBA for over two decades, I've never seen such a dramatic power shift in a single conference. The Denver Nuggets are sitting pretty at the top with their 32-8 record, looking absolutely unstoppable with Jokić playing like he's in a video game on easy mode. Meanwhile, the Warriors are struggling to stay above .500, which feels surreal after their dynasty years.
What's fascinating me right now is how this reminds me of international sports tournaments. I remember watching the FIBA World Cup qualifiers last year and being struck by how Iraq was the only team from their region that managed to advance through the Western Asia qualifiers. They stood alone, much like Denver does in the Western Conference right now - a singular force that separated itself from the pack. The Nuggets have created that same kind of separation, sitting three games clear of the second-place Timberwolves. They've won 12 of their last 14 games, and when Jokić is on the floor, they outscore opponents by 12.3 points per 100 possessions. That's just ridiculous.
Meanwhile, down at the bottom, we've got teams like the San Antonio Spurs who are 8-32 - and honestly, watching them sometimes feels like watching a rebuilding project in real time. They're clearly playing for the future, developing Wembanyama, but man, some of these losses are brutal. I caught their game against Memphis last week where they blew a 15-point fourth quarter lead. It's the kind of collapse that makes you wonder about their mental toughness. The Portland Trail Blazers aren't much better at 12-28, and frankly, I don't see them turning it around this season. They're averaging just 108.3 points per game, which in today's NBA is practically prehistoric.
The middle of the pack is where things get really interesting. The Lakers are sitting at 22-19, which feels about right for a team that can't seem to find consistency. I watched them lose to Utah last night, and LeBron looked exhausted by the third quarter. At 39 years old, he's still putting up 25 points per game, but the supporting cast just isn't reliable enough. Then you've got Phoenix at 22-18 - another team that should be better than they are. They've got three superstars but can't seem to figure out how to make them work together consistently.
What surprises me most is Sacramento's drop-off. They were so fun to watch last season, but now they're barely hanging onto the 8th seed at 23-16. Their defense has regressed significantly, allowing 118.9 points per 100 possessions compared to 114.8 last season. I was at their game against Atlanta last week, and the defensive rotations were just... messy. Players were constantly getting lost on screens, and the communication seemed off.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the pleasant surprise of the season though. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is playing at an MVP level, averaging 31.2 points on ridiculously efficient 55% shooting. They're 27-13 and honestly, they play with a maturity that belies their youth. I watched them dismantle Boston last month, and their ball movement was just beautiful - the kind of basketball that makes you remember why you fell in love with the game.
Dallas is another team that's fascinating to watch. Luka Dončić is putting up historic numbers - 33.6 points, 9.1 assists, 8.1 rebounds - but they're only 24-17. It's the classic "great player, mediocre team" situation that we've seen so many times in NBA history. I worry they're wasting prime Luka years if they can't put better pieces around him.
The Clippers have turned their season around after a rocky start, winning 18 of their last 23 games. When Kawhi Leonard is healthy - which he has been, knock on wood - they look like legitimate contenders. Their net rating of +6.3 during this stretch is third-best in the league behind only Denver and Boston.
As we approach the halfway point of the season, the separation between the contenders and pretenders is becoming clearer. Denver looks like they're in a class of their own, while teams like Golden State and Memphis are fighting just to make the play-in tournament. It's funny how quickly things can change in the NBA - just two seasons ago, the Warriors were champions, and now they're desperately trying to avoid the lottery.
Personally, I think Minnesota will eventually fade from that second spot. They've been great defensively, but their offense is too inconsistent, and I don't trust their half-court execution in the playoffs. Meanwhile, I'm buying stock in Oklahoma City - they're young, hungry, and have all those future draft picks. They remind me of the early Warriors teams before they became a dynasty.
The race for the final play-in spots should be wild though. Utah, Houston, and Golden State are all within two games of each other, and each has looked both brilliant and terrible at various points this season. I caught the Warriors-Lakers game last week, and Steph Curry still looks like Steph Curry, but the pieces around him just don't fit as well as they used to.
Ultimately, what makes the Western Conference so compelling this season is the sheer unpredictability of it all. Teams rise and fall almost weekly, and by the time playoffs come around, I wouldn't be surprised if we see some major upsets. The gap between the top teams and the middle pack isn't as wide as it might appear, and in a seven-game series, anything can happen. But for now, Denver has established themselves as the team to beat, while several former contenders are left wondering what went wrong.